Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlton wins |
39.79%
±14.51%
|
2.63 | +4.5% |
| Draw |
28.42%
±2.21%
|
3.05 | -13.3% |
| Derby wins |
31.79%
±12.93%
|
2.80 | -11.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Charlton
Derby
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Charlton
Derby
Shots
9.7
11.6
Shots On Target
2.9
3.8
Corners
5.6
6.7
Fouls
14.0
10.6
Yellow Cards
2.7
2.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Charlton
Derby
Shots
10.2
14.6
Shots On Target
3.6
4.2
Corners
4.0
5.0
Fouls
12.8
10.4
Yellow Cards
1.8
2.2
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Charlton Wins
2Draws
1Derby Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep 2025 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 27 Feb 2024 | Charlton Win | 1:2 |
| 3 Feb 2024 | Derby Win | 0:1 |
| 18 Feb 2023 | Derby Win | 2:0 |
| 6 Aug 2022 | Charlton Win | 1:0 |
Charlton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | Sheffield United | 1:0 | W |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Blackburn | 2:2 | D |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Coventry | 1:1 | D |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Portsmouth | 2:1 | L |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Norwich | 1:0 | L |
Derby - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | Preston | 0:1 | W |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Wrexham | 1:2 | L |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Middlesbrough | 1:0 | W |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Leicester | 2:1 | L |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Birmingham | 1:1 | D |