RB Leipzig vs Leverkusen
Final Result
1:3
Leverkusen to win
Our Prediction
Missed
39%
RB Leipzig to win
±14.5%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig wins |
39.04%
±14.46%
|
2.08 | -19.0% |
| Draw |
29.19%
±2.23%
|
3.80 | +10.9% |
| Leverkusen wins |
31.76%
±12.88%
|
3.20 | +1.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
RB Leipzig
Leverkusen
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
RB Leipzig
Leverkusen
Shots
15.8
15.4
Shots On Target
6.2
4.5
Corners
6.3
5.1
Fouls
9.0
7.9
Yellow Cards
1.9
2.1
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
RB Leipzig
Leverkusen
Shots
11.9
12.3
Shots On Target
4.2
5.2
Corners
4.2
5.6
Fouls
9.7
11.2
Yellow Cards
2.0
2.1
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
RB Leipzig Wins
4Draws
2Leverkusen Wins
4| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2025 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 31 Aug 2024 | RB Leipzig Win | 2:3 |
| 20 Jan 2024 | Leverkusen Win | 2:3 |
| 19 Aug 2023 | Leverkusen Win | 3:2 |
| 23 Apr 2023 | Leverkusen Win | 2:0 |
RB Leipzig - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec 2025 | Union Berlin | 3:1 | L |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Ein Frankfurt | 6:0 | W |
| 28 Nov 2025 | M'gladbach | 0:0 | D |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Werder Bremen | 2:0 | W |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Hoffenheim | 3:1 | L |
Leverkusen - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 | FC Koln | 2:0 | W |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Augsburg | 2:0 | L |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Dortmund | 1:2 | L |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Wolfsburg | 1:3 | W |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Heidenheim | 6:0 | W |