Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley wins |
26.97%
±12.72%
|
3.23 | -13.0% |
| Draw |
28.13%
±2.01%
|
3.25 | -8.6% |
| Leeds wins |
44.9%
±14%
|
2.28 | +2.1% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Burnley
Leeds
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Burnley
Leeds
Shots
10.1
15.1
Shots On Target
4.1
5.1
Hit On Woodwork
0.0
0.0
Corners
3.7
5.1
Fouls
9.6
9.4
Free Kicks Conceded
0.0
0.0
Offsides
0.0
0.0
Yellow Cards
1.4
1.4
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Burnley
Leeds
Shots
10.2
14.3
Shots On Target
3.0
4.0
Corners
5.0
6.7
Fouls
11.0
9.5
Yellow Cards
2.2
2.0
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Burnley Wins
1Draws
2Leeds Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan 2025 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 14 Sep 2024 | Burnley Win | 0:1 |
| 2 Jan 2022 | Leeds Win | 3:1 |
| 29 Aug 2021 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 15 May 2021 | Leeds Win | 0:4 |
Burnley - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Oct 2025 | Aston Villa | 2:1 | L |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Man City | 5:1 | L |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Nott'm Forest | 1:1 | D |
| 14 Sep 2025 | Liverpool | 0:1 | L |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Man United | 3:2 | L |
Leeds - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2025 | Tottenham | 1:2 | L |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Bournemouth | 2:2 | D |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Wolves | 1:3 | W |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Fulham | 1:0 | L |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Newcastle | 0:0 | D |