Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Port Vale wins |
43.57%
±14.73%
|
2.34 | +1.7% |
| Draw |
28.64%
±2.91%
|
3.35 | -4.1% |
| Burton wins |
27.8%
±12.25%
|
2.85 | -20.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Port Vale
Burton
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Port Vale
Burton
Shots
9.3
11.9
Shots On Target
2.2
3.6
Corners
6.0
5.9
Fouls
10.2
10.7
Yellow Cards
2.1
1.1
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Port Vale
Burton
Shots
13.8
11.6
Shots On Target
5.2
3.0
Corners
5.0
5.2
Fouls
9.4
11.8
Yellow Cards
1.0
2.4
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Port Vale Wins
2Draws
1Burton Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2025 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 23 Mar 2024 | Port Vale Win | 0:1 |
| 19 Sep 2023 | Burton Win | 2:3 |
| 18 Mar 2023 | Burton Win | 2:3 |
| 20 Aug 2022 | Port Vale Win | 0:2 |
Port Vale - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2026 | AFC Wimbledon | 0:1 | L |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Leyton Orient | 0:1 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Exeter | 1:3 | L |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Mansfield | 3:0 | L |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Blackpool | 5:1 | W |
Burton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2026 | Doncaster | 1:2 | L |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Cardiff | 2:2 | D |
| 27 Jan 2026 | Bolton | 2:1 | L |
| 22 Jan 2026 | Lincoln | 2:1 | L |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Huddersfield | 3:1 | W |