Newcastle vs Aston Villa
Final Result
0:2
Aston Villa to win
Our Prediction
Missed
40%
Newcastle to win
±14.3%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle wins |
39.96%
±14.34%
|
1.94 | -22.5% |
| Draw |
30.98%
±2.64%
|
3.75 | +16.2% |
| Aston Villa wins |
29.06%
±12.27%
|
3.65 | +6.1% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Newcastle
Aston Villa
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Newcastle
Aston Villa
Shots
14.4
13.0
Shots On Target
5.8
5.3
Corners
7.7
4.9
Fouls
7.5
10.1
Yellow Cards
1.7
1.3
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Newcastle
Aston Villa
Shots
13.8
11.3
Shots On Target
4.7
4.0
Hit On Woodwork
0.0
0.0
Corners
4.9
4.7
Fouls
13.8
12.0
Free Kicks Conceded
0.0
0.0
Offsides
0.0
0.0
Yellow Cards
2.2
2.3
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Newcastle Wins
5Draws
2Aston Villa Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2025 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 19 Apr 2025 | Aston Villa Win | 4:1 |
| 26 Dec 2024 | Newcastle Win | 3:0 |
| 30 Jan 2024 | Newcastle Win | 1:3 |
| 12 Aug 2023 | Newcastle Win | 5:1 |
Newcastle - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2026 | Wolves | 0:0 | D |
| 7 Jan 2026 | Leeds | 4:3 | W |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Crystal Palace | 2:0 | W |
| 30 Dec 2025 | Burnley | 1:3 | W |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Man United | 1:0 | L |
Aston Villa - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2026 | Everton | 0:1 | L |
| 7 Jan 2026 | Crystal Palace | 0:0 | D |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Nott'm Forest | 3:1 | W |
| 30 Dec 2025 | Arsenal | 4:1 | L |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Chelsea | 1:2 | W |