Burnley vs Man United
Final Result
2:2
Match ended in a draw
Our Prediction
Missed
55.8%
Man United to win
±13.1%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley wins |
18.04%
±9.92%
|
4.63 | -16.6% |
| Draw |
26.18%
±3.5%
|
4.00 | +4.7% |
| Man United wins |
55.79%
±13.13%
|
1.71 | -4.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Burnley
Man United
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Burnley
Man United
Shots
10.6
16.8
Shots On Target
3.4
5.5
Corners
4.9
5.5
Fouls
10.6
11.5
Yellow Cards
1.6
1.6
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Burnley
Man United
Shots
9.9
19.8
Shots On Target
3.1
6.8
Corners
3.8
6.5
Fouls
10.1
9.5
Yellow Cards
2.0
1.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Burnley Wins
1Draws
2Man United Wins
5| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2025 | Man United Win | 3:2 |
| 27 Apr 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 23 Sep 2023 | Man United Win | 0:1 |
| 8 Feb 2022 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 30 Dec 2021 | Man United Win | 3:1 |
Burnley - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Jan 2026 | Brighton | 2:0 | L |
| 30 Dec 2025 | Newcastle | 1:3 | L |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Everton | 0:0 | D |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Bournemouth | 1:1 | D |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Fulham | 2:3 | L |
Man United - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2026 | Leeds | 1:1 | D |
| 30 Dec 2025 | Wolves | 1:1 | D |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Newcastle | 1:0 | W |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Aston Villa | 2:1 | L |
| 15 Dec 2025 | Bournemouth | 4:4 | D |