Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient wins |
51.09%
±14.5%
|
1.79 | -8.5% |
| Draw |
26.88%
±3.98%
|
3.60 | -3.2% |
| Metz wins |
22.03%
±10.78%
|
4.58 | +0.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Lorient
Metz
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Lorient
Metz
Shots
11.9
9.2
Shots On Target
3.7
3.9
Corners
3.6
4.1
Fouls
8.9
10.5
Yellow Cards
1.1
1.7
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Lorient
Metz
Shots
11.6
9.9
Shots On Target
4.0
3.2
Corners
5.5
4.2
Fouls
13.0
13.2
Yellow Cards
2.0
2.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Lorient Wins
3Draws
2Metz Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan 2025 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 21 Sep 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 4 Feb 2024 | Lorient Win | 1:2 |
| 26 Nov 2023 | Metz Win | 2:3 |
| 20 Apr 2022 | Lorient Win | 1:0 |
Lorient - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec 2025 | Strasbourg | 0:0 | D |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Lyon | 1:0 | W |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Nice | 3:1 | W |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Nantes | 1:1 | D |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Toulouse | 1:1 | D |
Metz - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 | Paris SG | 2:3 | L |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Auxerre | 3:1 | L |
| 28 Nov 2025 | Rennes | 0:1 | L |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Brest | 3:2 | L |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Nice | 2:1 | W |