Scottish Championship 3 Oct 2026 11:00 Match Finished

Livingston vs Ayr

Final Result

1:2

Ayr to win

Rating Change

Livingston -0.7
Ayr -0.1
Our Prediction Missed
50.2% Livingston to win

±14.2%

Outcome Probabilities

Outcome Probability Odds EV
Livingston wins
50.16% ±14.21%
1.54 -22.8%
Draw
29.89% ±4.56%
3.85 +15.1%
Ayr wins Top Bet Landed
19.96% ±9.91%
4.90 -2.2%

Model Rating

AI model rating per team before kickoff

Livingston
Ayr

Recent Form Statistics

Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.

Stat
Livingston
Ayr
Shots 11.2 6.8
Shots On Target 3.5 3.1
Corners 5.2 5.4
Fouls 12.6 9.9
Yellow Cards 2.1 1.6
Red Cards 0.1 0.1

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Average per-match stats from recent meetings.

Stat
Livingston
Ayr
Shots 7.0 8.7
Shots On Target 3.0 3.7
Corners 5.7 4.7
Fouls 11.0 9.7
Yellow Cards 2.7 3.3
Red Cards 0.0 0.0

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.

Head-to-Head History

Livingston Wins

3

Draws

0

Ayr Wins

1
Date Result Score
18 Apr 2025 Livingston Win 5:0
22 Feb 2025 Livingston Win 1:2
21 Dec 2024 Ayr Win 0:1
19 Oct 2024 Livingston Win 1:2

Livingston - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
25 Sep 2026 Raith Rvs 0:2 W
19 Sep 2026 Inverness C 2:2 D
11 Sep 2026 Morton 1:4 W
4 Sep 2026 Stenhousemuir 0:1 L
29 Aug 2026 Arbroath 1:0 L

Ayr - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
25 Sep 2026 Stenhousemuir 0:1 L
18 Sep 2026 Queens Park 0:2 W
12 Sep 2026 Inverness C 1:3 L
5 Sep 2026 Partick 1:0 L
29 Aug 2026 Morton 1:1 D