Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Metz wins |
17.59%
±9.52%
|
4.63 | -18.6% |
| Draw |
27.07%
±3.56%
|
3.95 | +6.9% |
| Lyon wins |
55.34%
±12.78%
|
1.70 | -5.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Metz
Lyon
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Metz
Lyon
Shots
10.3
12.1
Shots On Target
4.0
4.9
Corners
4.1
5.0
Fouls
10.6
13.7
Yellow Cards
2.1
2.0
Red Cards
0.1
0.4
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Metz
Lyon
Shots
11.6
15.9
Shots On Target
3.6
5.5
Corners
4.1
6.2
Fouls
14.1
12.9
Yellow Cards
2.0
1.1
Red Cards
0.2
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Metz Wins
2Draws
2Lyon Wins
4| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2025 | Lyon Win | 3:0 |
| 23 Feb 2024 | Lyon Win | 1:2 |
| 5 Nov 2023 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 8 May 2022 | Metz Win | 3:2 |
| 22 Dec 2021 | Draw | 1:1 |
Metz - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2026 | Strasbourg | 2:1 | L |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Lorient | 1:1 | D |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Paris SG | 2:3 | L |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Auxerre | 3:1 | L |
| 28 Nov 2025 | Rennes | 0:1 | L |
Lyon - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2026 | Brest | 2:1 | W |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Monaco | 1:3 | W |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Le Havre | 1:0 | W |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Lorient | 1:0 | L |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Nantes | 3:0 | W |