Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Modena wins |
54.88%
±14.61%
|
1.65 | -9.4% |
| Draw |
24.17%
±4.07%
|
3.65 | -11.8% |
| Empoli wins Top Bet |
20.95%
±10.75%
|
5.03 | +5.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Modena
Empoli
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Modena
Empoli
Shots
15.4
11.6
Shots On Target
4.9
3.4
Corners
4.3
4.7
Fouls
15.4
16.8
Yellow Cards
2.0
2.2
Red Cards
0.1
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Modena
Empoli
Shots
12.0
7.5
Shots On Target
3.5
2.0
Corners
5.0
5.0
Fouls
15.5
13.0
Yellow Cards
3.0
2.0
Red Cards
0.5
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Modena Wins
1Draws
1Empoli Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 24 Oct 2025 | Modena Win | 2:1 |
Modena - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep 2026 | Sudtirol | 1:1 | D |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Avellino | 0:1 | L |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Cremonese | 0:3 | W |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Benevento | 1:2 | W |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Benevento | - | - |
Empoli - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep 2026 | Arezzo | 0:1 | L |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Carrarese | 0:1 | W |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Mantova | 3:1 | L |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Cremonese | 1:0 | W |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Cremonese | - | - |