English League Two 11 Feb 2026 15:00 Match Finished

Swindon vs Newport County

Our Prediction Correct
64.9% Swindon to win

±12.9%

Outcome Probabilities

Outcome Probability Odds EV
Swindon wins
64.92% ±12.95%
1.50 -2.6%
Draw
20.67% ±4.77%
4.20 -13.2%
Newport County wins
14.41% ±8.3%
5.63 -18.9%

Model Rating

AI model rating per team before kickoff

Swindon
Newport County

Recent Form Statistics

Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.

Stat
Swindon
Newport County
Shots 11.8 11.1
Shots On Target 5.1 3.9
Corners 5.5 3.6
Fouls 9.0 9.8
Yellow Cards 1.6 1.7
Red Cards 0.0 0.2

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Average per-match stats from recent meetings.

Stat
Swindon
Newport County
Shots 12.6 10.3
Shots On Target 3.8 3.5
Corners 5.9 3.9
Fouls 11.6 12.2
Yellow Cards 2.1 2.0
Red Cards 0.1 0.0

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.

Head-to-Head History

Swindon Wins

6

Draws

0

Newport County Wins

4
Date Result Score
4 Oct 2025 Swindon Win 0:1
24 Jan 2025 Swindon Win 1:2
14 Sep 2024 Swindon Win 4:0
3 Feb 2024 Newport County Win 2:1
14 Oct 2023 Swindon Win 2:0

Swindon - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
7 Feb 2026 Oldham 3:0 W
3 Feb 2026 Harrogate 0:1 W
31 Jan 2026 Barrow 3:1 W
27 Jan 2026 Notts County 2:1 L
24 Jan 2026 Bromley 2:1 L

Newport County - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
7 Feb 2026 Grimsby 0:0 D
31 Jan 2026 Bristol Rvs 3:0 L
27 Jan 2026 Accrington 1:4 L
24 Jan 2026 Chesterfield 2:1 W
17 Jan 2026 Gillingham 3:2 L