Ligue 1 20 Feb 2026 14:45 Match Finished

Brest vs Marseille

Final Result

2:0

Brest to win

Rating Change

Brest +1.2
Marseille -2.7
Our Prediction Missed
52% Marseille to win

±13.2%

Outcome Probabilities

Outcome Probability Odds EV
Brest wins
18.92% ±10.12%
3.75 -29.0%
Draw
29.05% ±3.4%
3.60 +4.6%
Marseille wins
52.03% ±13.16%
1.92 +0.1%

Model Rating

AI model rating per team before kickoff

Brest
Marseille

Recent Form Statistics

Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.

Stat
Brest
Marseille
Shots 11.6 13.8
Shots On Target 4.4 5.9
Corners 3.8 4.4
Fouls 14.9 12.6
Yellow Cards 2.1 2.0
Red Cards 0.2 0.2

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Average per-match stats from recent meetings.

Stat
Brest
Marseille
Shots 11.8 11.3
Shots On Target 4.0 4.7
Corners 5.2 3.4
Fouls 11.5 11.4
Yellow Cards 1.8 2.0
Red Cards 0.1 0.0

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.

Head-to-Head History

Brest Wins

3

Draws

1

Marseille Wins

6
Date Result Score
8 Nov 2025 Marseille Win 3:0
27 Apr 2025 Marseille Win 4:1
17 Aug 2024 Marseille Win 1:5
18 Feb 2024 Brest Win 1:0
26 Aug 2023 Marseille Win 2:0

Brest - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
14 Feb 2026 Lille 1:1 D
7 Feb 2026 Lorient 2:0 W
1 Feb 2026 Nice 2:2 D
25 Jan 2026 Toulouse 0:2 L
18 Jan 2026 Lyon 2:1 L

Marseille - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
14 Feb 2026 Strasbourg 2:2 D
8 Feb 2026 Paris SG 5:0 L
31 Jan 2026 Paris FC 2:2 D
24 Jan 2026 Lens 3:1 W
17 Jan 2026 Angers 2:5 W