Ligue 1 14 Feb 2026 11:00 Match Finished

Marseille vs Strasbourg

Our Prediction Missed
47.4% Marseille to win

±14.9%

Outcome Probabilities

Outcome Probability Odds EV
Marseille wins
47.35% ±14.86%
1.69 -20.2%
Draw
29.17% ±3.88%
4.10 +19.6%
Strasbourg wins
23.48% ±11.3%
4.50 +5.7%

Model Rating

AI model rating per team before kickoff

Marseille
Strasbourg

Recent Form Statistics

Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.

Stat
Marseille
Strasbourg
Shots 14.7 9.7
Shots On Target 6.0 3.5
Corners 4.5 4.0
Fouls 12.7 11.0
Yellow Cards 1.6 1.9
Red Cards 0.2 0.2

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Average per-match stats from recent meetings.

Stat
Marseille
Strasbourg
Shots 12.1 12.8
Shots On Target 4.7 4.7
Corners 4.9 5.5
Fouls 11.2 13.7
Yellow Cards 2.2 1.9
Red Cards 0.1 0.0

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.

Head-to-Head History

Marseille Wins

3

Draws

6

Strasbourg Wins

1
Date Result Score
26 Sep 2025 Marseille Win 1:2
19 Jan 2025 Draw 1:1
29 Sep 2024 Strasbourg Win 1:0
12 Jan 2024 Draw 1:1
25 Nov 2023 Draw 1:1

Marseille - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
8 Feb 2026 Paris SG 5:0 L
31 Jan 2026 Paris FC 2:2 D
24 Jan 2026 Lens 3:1 W
17 Jan 2026 Angers 2:5 W
4 Jan 2026 Nantes 0:2 L

Strasbourg - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
8 Feb 2026 Le Havre 2:1 L
1 Feb 2026 Paris SG 1:2 L
25 Jan 2026 Lille 1:4 W
18 Jan 2026 Metz 2:1 W
3 Jan 2026 Nice 1:1 D