Fiorentina vs Milan
Final Result
1:1
Match ended in a draw
Our Prediction
Missed
50.5%
Milan to win
±13.5%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina wins |
20.52%
±10.8%
|
3.70 | -24.1% |
| Draw |
28.93%
±3.1%
|
3.45 | -0.2% |
| Milan wins |
50.55%
±13.49%
|
2.00 | +1.1% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Fiorentina
Milan
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Fiorentina
Milan
Shots
15.0
14.0
Shots On Target
4.1
4.9
Corners
4.9
5.3
Fouls
12.5
9.3
Yellow Cards
2.7
1.7
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Fiorentina
Milan
Shots
11.2
12.8
Shots On Target
4.2
5.7
Corners
6.0
4.5
Fouls
10.8
13.9
Yellow Cards
2.5
2.1
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Fiorentina Wins
3Draws
1Milan Wins
6| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2025 | Milan Win | 2:1 |
| 5 Apr 2025 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 6 Oct 2024 | Fiorentina Win | 2:1 |
| 30 Mar 2024 | Milan Win | 1:2 |
| 25 Nov 2023 | Milan Win | 1:0 |
Fiorentina - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Jan 2026 | Lazio | 2:2 | D |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Cremonese | 1:0 | W |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Parma | 1:0 | L |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Udinese | 5:1 | W |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Verona | 1:2 | L |
Milan - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Jan 2026 | Genoa | 1:1 | D |
| 2 Jan 2026 | Cagliari | 0:1 | W |
| 28 Dec 2025 | Verona | 3:0 | W |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Sassuolo | 2:2 | D |
| 8 Dec 2025 | Torino | 2:3 | W |