Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oviedo wins |
42.08%
±14.54%
|
1.90 | -19.9% |
| Draw |
28.74%
±2.66%
|
3.10 | -11.0% |
| Burgos wins Top Bet |
29.18%
±12.38%
|
4.13 | +20.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Oviedo
Burgos
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Oviedo
Burgos
Shots
11.9
10.6
Shots On Target
3.0
3.4
Corners
5.0
3.8
Fouls
12.5
12.1
Yellow Cards
1.7
2.0
Red Cards
0.2
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Oviedo
Burgos
Shots
11.4
12.1
Shots On Target
4.0
4.2
Corners
4.1
5.6
Fouls
11.4
10.0
Yellow Cards
2.1
1.4
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Oviedo Wins
4Draws
1Burgos Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb 2025 | Oviedo Win | 1:2 |
| 3 Nov 2024 | Oviedo Win | 3:1 |
| 17 Feb 2024 | Oviedo Win | 5:0 |
| 26 Aug 2023 | Burgos Win | 1:0 |
| 12 Feb 2023 | Burgos Win | 0:1 |
Oviedo - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2026 | Albacete | 0:1 | W |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Leganes | 0:1 | L |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Granada | 0:0 | D |
| 23 May 2026 | Mallorca | 3:0 | L |
| 17 May 2026 | Alaves | 0:1 | L |
Burgos - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug 2026 | Sociedad B | 2:2 | D |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Sp Gijon | 1:0 | L |
| 16 Aug 2026 | Cordoba | 3:2 | W |
| 31 May 2026 | Andorra | 1:0 | W |
| 24 May 2026 | Cultural Leonesa | 0:2 | W |