Newport County vs Accrington
Final Result
1:4
Accrington to win
Our Prediction
Correct
39.6%
Accrington to win
±14.1%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newport County wins |
33.73%
±14.13%
|
2.98 | +0.3% |
| Draw |
26.68%
±1.49%
|
3.18 | -15.3% |
| Accrington wins |
39.59%
±14.07%
|
2.30 | -8.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Newport County
Accrington
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Newport County
Accrington
Shots
11.5
12.1
Shots On Target
4.0
3.8
Corners
3.1
4.9
Fouls
10.0
10.2
Yellow Cards
1.5
1.8
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Newport County
Accrington
Shots
9.2
16.6
Shots On Target
1.6
6.0
Corners
3.2
4.2
Fouls
11.0
10.8
Yellow Cards
1.4
1.2
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Newport County Wins
2Draws
0Accrington Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2025 | Newport County Win | 0:1 |
| 11 Mar 2025 | Accrington Win | 5:0 |
| 24 Aug 2024 | Newport County Win | 3:1 |
| 9 Apr 2024 | Accrington Win | 1:3 |
| 5 Aug 2023 | Accrington Win | 3:0 |
Newport County - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2026 | Chesterfield | 2:1 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Gillingham | 3:2 | L |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Bromley | 2:1 | L |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Crewe | 2:0 | W |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Barnet | 0:0 | D |
Accrington - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2026 | Walsall | 0:0 | D |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons | 0:2 | L |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Notts County | 0:1 | W |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Harrogate | 1:0 | W |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Barrow | 2:1 | W |