Hamburg vs Werder Bremen
Final Result
3:2
Hamburg to win
Our Prediction
Correct
43.4%
Hamburg to win
±14.9%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburg wins |
43.42%
±14.95%
|
2.25 | -2.3% |
| Draw |
26.83%
±2.58%
|
3.60 | -3.4% |
| Werder Bremen wins |
29.75%
±12.82%
|
2.95 | -12.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Hamburg
Werder Bremen
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Hamburg
Werder Bremen
Shots
14.8
13.2
Shots On Target
5.1
4.7
Corners
3.6
4.7
Fouls
13.8
9.3
Yellow Cards
2.5
2.4
Red Cards
0.4
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Hamburg
Werder Bremen
Shots
9.0
17.0
Shots On Target
6.0
5.0
Corners
2.5
4.5
Fouls
12.0
13.5
Yellow Cards
3.0
4.0
Red Cards
0.5
0.5
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Hamburg Wins
1Draws
0Werder Bremen Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb 2022 | Werder Bremen Win | 2:3 |
| 18 Sep 2021 | Hamburg Win | 0:2 |
Hamburg - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov 2025 | Stuttgart | 2:1 | W |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Augsburg | 1:0 | L |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Dortmund | 1:1 | D |
| 2 Nov 2025 | FC Koln | 4:1 | L |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Wolfsburg | 0:1 | L |
Werder Bremen - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov 2025 | FC Koln | 1:1 | D |
| 23 Nov 2025 | RB Leipzig | 2:0 | L |
| 7 Nov 2025 | Wolfsburg | 2:1 | W |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Mainz | 1:1 | D |
| 24 Oct 2025 | Union Berlin | 1:0 | W |