PSV Eindhoven vs Excelsior
Final Result
5:1
PSV Eindhoven to win
Our Prediction
Correct
82.6%
PSV Eindhoven to win
±7.7%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven wins |
82.55%
±7.7%
|
1.15 | -4.7% |
| Draw |
12.67%
±4.38%
|
8.63 | +9.3% |
| Excelsior wins |
4.77%
±3.37%
|
14.25 | -32.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
Shots
16.4
12.5
Shots On Target
6.8
4.3
Corners
6.7
4.2
Fouls
10.4
13.4
Yellow Cards
1.4
1.6
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
Shots
22.8
8.0
Shots On Target
10.0
2.8
Corners
8.4
2.0
Fouls
4.8
7.0
Yellow Cards
0.2
1.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
PSV Eindhoven Wins
5Draws
0Excelsior Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2025 | PSV Eindhoven Win | 1:2 |
| 2 Apr 2024 | PSV Eindhoven Win | 0:2 |
| 13 Jan 2024 | PSV Eindhoven Win | 3:1 |
| 8 Apr 2023 | PSV Eindhoven Win | 4:0 |
| 28 Aug 2022 | PSV Eindhoven Win | 1:6 |
PSV Eindhoven - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec 2025 | Utrecht | 1:2 | W |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Heracles | 4:3 | W |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Heerenveen | 0:2 | W |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Volendam | 3:0 | W |
| 22 Nov 2025 | NAC Breda | 0:1 | W |
Excelsior - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec 2025 | Zwolle | 2:1 | W |
| 5 Dec 2025 | Groningen | 0:2 | L |
| 29 Nov 2025 | NAC Breda | 1:0 | W |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Ajax | 1:2 | W |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Heracles | 1:2 | L |