Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril wins |
38.4%
±14.59%
|
2.40 | -7.8% |
| Draw |
30.39%
±2.3%
|
3.30 | +0.3% |
| Guimaraes wins |
31.21%
±12.98%
|
2.80 | -12.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Estoril
Guimaraes
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Estoril
Guimaraes
Shots
12.8
13.0
Shots On Target
4.9
3.2
Corners
5.5
4.4
Fouls
13.2
14.9
Yellow Cards
2.2
2.5
Red Cards
0.0
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Estoril
Guimaraes
Shots
9.7
13.7
Shots On Target
3.6
4.2
Corners
4.1
6.2
Fouls
13.9
16.7
Yellow Cards
2.4
3.3
Red Cards
0.2
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Estoril Wins
1Draws
1Guimaraes Wins
7| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2025 | Guimaraes Win | 3:2 |
| 26 Jan 2025 | Estoril Win | 1:0 |
| 18 Aug 2024 | Guimaraes Win | 1:0 |
| 2 Mar 2024 | Guimaraes Win | 1:3 |
| 1 Oct 2023 | Guimaraes Win | 3:2 |
Estoril - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan 2026 | Estrela | 0:5 | W |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Benfica | 3:1 | L |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Alverca | 4:1 | W |
| 19 Dec 2025 | Sp Braga | 1:0 | W |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Famalicao | 4:0 | L |
Guimaraes - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2026 | Porto | 0:1 | L |
| 2 Jan 2026 | Nacional | 2:1 | W |
| 28 Dec 2025 | Casa Pia | 0:0 | D |
| 23 Dec 2025 | Sp Lisbon | 1:4 | L |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Rio Ave | 0:1 | W |