Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Milan wins |
72.13%
±10.73%
|
1.28 | -8.0% |
| Draw |
19.48%
±5.52%
|
5.75 | +12.0% |
| Lecce wins Top Bet |
8.39%
±5.29%
|
10.75 | -9.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Milan
Lecce
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Milan
Lecce
Shots
12.6
9.2
Shots On Target
4.1
3.7
Corners
3.0
3.2
Fouls
11.7
12.3
Yellow Cards
2.4
2.6
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Milan
Lecce
Shots
13.7
10.7
Shots On Target
6.9
3.6
Corners
4.9
3.8
Fouls
9.3
10.1
Yellow Cards
1.6
1.3
Red Cards
0.2
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Milan Wins
7Draws
2Lecce Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2026 | Milan Win | 1:0 |
| 29 Aug 2025 | Milan Win | 0:2 |
| 8 Mar 2025 | Milan Win | 2:3 |
| 27 Sep 2024 | Milan Win | 3:0 |
| 6 Apr 2024 | Milan Win | 3:0 |
Milan - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep 2026 | Lazio | 2:2 | D |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Juventus | 1:1 | D |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Venezia | 2:0 | W |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Torino | 1:2 | W |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Torino | - | - |
Lecce - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2026 | Monza | 3:2 | W |
| 7 Sep 2026 | Cagliari | 1:0 | L |
| 31 Aug 2026 | Roma | 0:4 | L |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Venezia | 0:2 | W |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Venezia | - | - |