Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional wins |
25.94%
±12.17%
|
3.10 | -19.6% |
| Draw |
30.57%
±2.12%
|
3.33 | +1.7% |
| Famalicao wins |
43.49%
±13.53%
|
2.23 | -3.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Nacional
Famalicao
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Nacional
Famalicao
Shots
11.0
13.2
Shots On Target
4.0
4.3
Corners
4.9
6.1
Fouls
15.2
18.7
Yellow Cards
2.8
2.8
Red Cards
0.3
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Nacional
Famalicao
Shots
13.0
15.0
Shots On Target
4.8
4.5
Corners
4.0
5.5
Fouls
19.0
13.0
Yellow Cards
3.2
2.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Nacional Wins
2Draws
1Famalicao Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Mar 2025 | Nacional Win | 2:1 |
| 29 Sep 2024 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 16 May 2021 | Famalicao Win | 3:0 |
| 30 Jan 2021 | Nacional Win | 2:1 |
Nacional - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct 2025 | Estoril | 1:1 | D |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Moreirense | 3:2 | W |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Sp Braga | 0:1 | W |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Arouca | 1:2 | L |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Porto | 1:0 | L |
Famalicao - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct 2025 | Guimaraes | 2:0 | W |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Arouca | 1:1 | D |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Rio Ave | 0:0 | D |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Casa Pia | 1:1 | D |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Sp Lisbon | 1:2 | L |