Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morecambe wins |
19.22%
±9.84%
|
3.80 | -27.0% |
| Draw Top Bet Landed |
36.8%
±3.31%
|
3.90 | +43.5% |
| Carlisle wins |
43.99%
±12.63%
|
1.75 | -23.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Morecambe
Carlisle
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Morecambe
Carlisle
Yellow Cards
2.1
1.3
Red Cards
0.2
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Morecambe
Carlisle
Shots
12.8
12.4
Shots On Target
4.6
4.2
Hit On Woodwork
0.0
0.0
Corners
6.6
7.2
Fouls
13.6
15.4
Free Kicks Conceded
0.0
0.0
Offsides
0.0
0.0
Yellow Cards
2.0
1.7
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Morecambe Wins
2Draws
1Carlisle Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec 2025 | Carlisle Win | 1:0 |
| 12 Apr 2025 | Carlisle Win | 0:2 |
| 26 Dec 2024 | Morecambe Win | 0:1 |
| 6 Mar 2021 | Morecambe Win | 3:1 |
| 27 Oct 2020 | Carlisle Win | 3:1 |
Morecambe - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Apr 2026 | Rochdale | 2:4 | W |
| 28 Mar 2026 | Aldershot | 0:2 | L |
| 25 Mar 2026 | Hartlepool | 2:3 | L |
| 21 Mar 2026 | Yeovil | 3:2 | L |
| 14 Mar 2026 | Braintree Town | 1:1 | D |
Carlisle - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Apr 2026 | Gateshead | 0:0 | D |
| 28 Mar 2026 | Braintree Town | 1:2 | W |
| 24 Mar 2026 | Halifax | 0:1 | W |
| 21 Mar 2026 | Boston Utd | 6:2 | W |
| 14 Mar 2026 | Tamworth | 2:1 | L |