Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derby wins |
36.75%
±14.04%
|
2.55 | -6.3% |
| Draw |
30.3%
±1.99%
|
3.10 | -6.1% |
| West Brom wins |
32.95%
±12.84%
|
2.83 | -6.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Derby
West Brom
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Derby
West Brom
Shots
12.5
14.1
Shots On Target
4.2
4.9
Corners
5.9
6.4
Fouls
10.7
10.9
Yellow Cards
2.0
1.8
Red Cards
0.2
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Derby
West Brom
Shots
5.5
17.8
Shots On Target
1.7
4.8
Hit On Woodwork
0.0
0.0
Corners
2.3
5.8
Fouls
12.2
9.0
Free Kicks Conceded
0.0
0.0
Offsides
0.0
0.0
Yellow Cards
2.3
0.8
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Derby Wins
4Draws
1West Brom Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2025 | Derby Win | 0:1 |
| 21 Apr 2025 | Derby Win | 1:3 |
| 26 Dec 2024 | Derby Win | 2:1 |
| 27 Dec 2021 | Derby Win | 1:0 |
| 14 Sep 2021 | Draw | 0:0 |
Derby - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan 2026 | Charlton | 1:2 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Preston | 0:1 | W |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Wrexham | 1:2 | L |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Middlesbrough | 1:0 | W |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Leicester | 2:1 | L |
West Brom - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan 2026 | Norwich | 0:5 | L |
| 16 Jan 2026 | Middlesbrough | 2:3 | L |
| 5 Jan 2026 | Leicester | 2:1 | L |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Swansea | 1:0 | L |
| 29 Dec 2025 | QPR | 2:1 | W |