AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta Rotterdam
Final Result
3:1
AZ Alkmaar to win
Our Prediction
Correct
53.8%
AZ Alkmaar to win
±14.4%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar wins |
53.83%
±14.35%
|
2.03 | +9.0% |
| Draw |
25.82%
±4.25%
|
3.60 | -7.1% |
| Sparta Rotterdam wins |
20.35%
±10.33%
|
3.55 | -27.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Rotterdam
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Rotterdam
Shots
14.5
12.4
Shots On Target
5.2
5.1
Corners
5.1
4.5
Fouls
10.8
9.4
Yellow Cards
1.9
1.6
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Hit On Woodwork
N/A
0.0
Free Kicks Conceded
N/A
0.0
Offsides
N/A
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Rotterdam
Shots
16.8
10.2
Shots On Target
6.2
3.8
Corners
6.9
3.3
Fouls
8.4
9.1
Yellow Cards
1.1
1.6
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
AZ Alkmaar Wins
6Draws
2Sparta Rotterdam Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2025 | AZ Alkmaar Win | 0:1 |
| 26 Jan 2025 | Sparta Rotterdam Win | 1:2 |
| 24 Nov 2024 | AZ Alkmaar Win | 1:2 |
| 2 Mar 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 17 Sep 2023 | AZ Alkmaar Win | 2:0 |
AZ Alkmaar - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb 2026 | Excelsior | 1:2 | W |
| 8 Feb 2026 | Ajax | 1:1 | D |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Nijmegen | 1:3 | L |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Telstar | 0:1 | W |
| 21 Jan 2026 | Excelsior | 1:1 | D |
Sparta Rotterdam - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb 2026 | Nijmegen | 1:1 | D |
| 15 Feb 2026 | Nijmegen | - | - |
| 7 Feb 2026 | For Sittard | 2:2 | D |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Groningen | 2:0 | W |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Utrecht | 0:1 | W |