Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela wins |
39.08%
±14.65%
|
2.53 | -1.3% |
| Draw |
28.61%
±2.17%
|
3.15 | -9.9% |
| Tondela wins |
32.31%
±13.15%
|
2.73 | -11.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Estrela
Tondela
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Estrela
Tondela
Shots
9.4
9.6
Shots On Target
3.4
2.8
Corners
2.6
4.3
Fouls
16.4
14.1
Yellow Cards
2.9
2.8
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Estrela
Tondela
Shots
8.0
17.0
Shots On Target
3.0
8.0
Corners
2.0
5.0
Fouls
13.0
16.0
Yellow Cards
3.0
4.0
Red Cards
0.0
1.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Estrela Wins
0Draws
1Tondela Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep 2025 | Draw | 0:0 |
Estrela - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb 2026 | Guimaraes | 2:1 | L |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Santa Clara | 1:0 | W |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Alverca | 1:1 | D |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Benfica | 4:0 | L |
| 19 Jan 2026 | Estoril | 0:5 | L |
Tondela - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb 2026 | Alverca | 1:1 | D |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Estoril | 2:2 | D |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Benfica | 0:0 | D |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Famalicao | 3:0 | L |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Sp Braga | 0:1 | L |