Dortmund vs Bayern Munich
Final Result
2:3
Bayern Munich to win
Our Prediction
Correct
59%
Bayern Munich to win
±13.2%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dortmund wins |
15.2%
±9.27%
|
4.35 | -33.9% |
| Draw |
25.84%
±4.19%
|
4.68 | +20.8% |
| Bayern Munich wins |
58.96%
±13.22%
|
1.63 | -3.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Dortmund
Bayern Munich
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Dortmund
Bayern Munich
Shots
14.3
19.1
Shots On Target
5.5
9.8
Corners
5.0
7.2
Fouls
11.8
8.2
Yellow Cards
2.3
1.0
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Dortmund
Bayern Munich
Shots
10.1
15.4
Shots On Target
3.4
6.4
Corners
3.0
4.4
Fouls
11.3
8.8
Yellow Cards
1.8
1.7
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Dortmund Wins
1Draws
3Bayern Munich Wins
6| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2025 | Bayern Munich Win | 2:1 |
| 12 Apr 2025 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 30 Nov 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 30 Mar 2024 | Dortmund Win | 0:2 |
| 4 Nov 2023 | Bayern Munich Win | 0:4 |
Dortmund - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2026 | RB Leipzig | 2:2 | D |
| 13 Feb 2026 | Mainz | 4:0 | W |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Wolfsburg | 1:2 | W |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Heidenheim | 3:2 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Union Berlin | 0:3 | W |
Bayern Munich - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2026 | Ein Frankfurt | 3:2 | W |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Werder Bremen | 0:3 | W |
| 8 Feb 2026 | Hoffenheim | 5:1 | W |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Hamburg | 2:2 | D |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Augsburg | 1:2 | L |