Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds wins |
12.49%
±7.43%
|
5.75 | -28.2% |
| Draw |
27.37%
±4.64%
|
4.10 | +12.2% |
| Arsenal wins |
60.14%
±11.88%
|
1.56 | -6.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Leeds
Arsenal
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Leeds
Arsenal
Shots
14.1
15.6
Shots On Target
4.8
4.9
Corners
5.4
5.4
Fouls
9.3
9.5
Yellow Cards
1.3
1.4
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Leeds
Arsenal
Shots
10.3
14.6
Shots On Target
3.3
6.1
Corners
3.4
4.0
Fouls
12.3
9.4
Yellow Cards
2.0
0.7
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Leeds Wins
0Draws
1Arsenal Wins
6| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2025 | Arsenal Win | 5:0 |
| 1 Apr 2023 | Arsenal Win | 4:1 |
| 16 Oct 2022 | Arsenal Win | 0:1 |
| 8 May 2022 | Arsenal Win | 2:1 |
| 18 Dec 2021 | Arsenal Win | 1:4 |
Leeds - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan 2026 | Everton | 1:1 | D |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Fulham | 1:0 | W |
| 7 Jan 2026 | Newcastle | 4:3 | L |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Man United | 1:1 | D |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Liverpool | 0:0 | D |
Arsenal - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2026 | Man United | 2:3 | L |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Nott'm Forest | 0:0 | D |
| 8 Jan 2026 | Liverpool | 0:0 | D |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Bournemouth | 2:3 | W |
| 30 Dec 2025 | Aston Villa | 4:1 | W |