Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lecce wins |
41.91%
±15.03%
|
2.70 | +13.1% |
| Draw |
27.78%
±2.5%
|
3.00 | -16.7% |
| Parma wins |
30.31%
±13.07%
|
2.87 | -13.1% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Lecce
Parma
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Lecce
Parma
Shots
9.7
12.2
Shots On Target
2.6
3.3
Corners
4.6
3.3
Fouls
12.6
9.3
Yellow Cards
1.9
1.8
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Lecce
Parma
Shots
11.6
14.4
Shots On Target
5.3
5.4
Corners
4.6
5.9
Fouls
14.0
12.4
Yellow Cards
2.0
1.9
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Lecce Wins
3Draws
2Parma Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2025 | Lecce Win | 0:1 |
| 31 Jan 2025 | Lecce Win | 1:3 |
| 21 Sep 2024 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 19 Mar 2022 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 7 Nov 2021 | Lecce Win | 4:0 |
Lecce - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Jan 2026 | Roma | 0:2 | L |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Juventus | 1:1 | D |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Como | 0:3 | L |
| 12 Dec 2025 | Pisa | 1:0 | W |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Cremonese | 2:0 | L |
Parma - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Jan 2026 | Inter | 0:2 | L |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Sassuolo | 1:1 | D |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Fiorentina | 1:0 | W |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Lazio | 0:1 | L |
| 8 Dec 2025 | Pisa | 0:1 | W |