Mainz vs Heidenheim
Final Result
2:1
Mainz to win
Our Prediction
Correct
52.5%
Mainz to win
±15.1%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mainz wins |
52.46%
±15.11%
|
1.74 | -8.7% |
| Draw |
25.64%
±4.12%
|
3.78 | -3.2% |
| Heidenheim wins |
21.9%
±11.23%
|
4.47 | -2.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Mainz
Heidenheim
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Mainz
Heidenheim
Shots
9.1
12.8
Shots On Target
2.6
3.9
Corners
3.9
5.3
Fouls
12.3
10.2
Yellow Cards
2.3
1.4
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Mainz
Heidenheim
Shots
9.8
11.8
Shots On Target
3.8
4.5
Corners
5.5
5.2
Fouls
10.8
11.8
Yellow Cards
3.2
2.5
Red Cards
0.2
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Mainz Wins
1Draws
1Heidenheim Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb 2025 | Mainz Win | 0:2 |
| 28 Sep 2024 | Heidenheim Win | 0:2 |
| 5 May 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 16 Dec 2023 | Heidenheim Win | 0:1 |
Mainz - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2026 | Union Berlin | 2:2 | D |
| 21 Dec 2025 | St Pauli | 0:0 | D |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Bayern Munich | 2:2 | D |
| 5 Dec 2025 | M'gladbach | 0:1 | L |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Freiburg | 4:0 | L |
Heidenheim - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2026 | FC Koln | 2:2 | D |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Bayern Munich | 0:4 | L |
| 13 Dec 2025 | St Pauli | 2:1 | L |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Freiburg | 2:1 | W |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Union Berlin | 1:2 | W |