Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional wins |
7.43%
±4.93%
|
7.25 | -46.2% |
| Draw |
21.17%
±4.92%
|
5.00 | +5.8% |
| Benfica wins |
71.41%
±9.74%
|
1.36 | -2.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Nacional
Benfica
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Nacional
Benfica
Shots
10.9
15.8
Shots On Target
3.9
6.3
Corners
3.9
5.5
Fouls
14.6
11.5
Yellow Cards
3.0
2.7
Red Cards
0.4
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Nacional
Benfica
Shots
9.8
14.8
Shots On Target
2.5
6.2
Corners
3.8
7.2
Fouls
13.2
14.5
Yellow Cards
2.0
2.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Nacional Wins
0Draws
1Benfica Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 8 Mar 2025 | Benfica Win | 3:0 |
| 19 Dec 2024 | Benfica Win | 0:2 |
| 11 May 2021 | Benfica Win | 1:3 |
| 25 Jan 2021 | Draw | 1:1 |
Nacional - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov 2025 | Estrela | 1:1 | D |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Famalicao | 0:1 | L |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Estoril | 1:1 | D |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Moreirense | 3:2 | W |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Sp Braga | 0:1 | W |
Benfica - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov 2025 | Casa Pia | 2:2 | D |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Guimaraes | 0:3 | W |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Arouca | 5:0 | W |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Porto | 0:0 | D |
| 26 Sep 2025 | Gil Vicente | 2:1 | W |