Swansea vs Birmingham
Final Result
1:1
Match ended in a draw
Our Prediction
Missed
37.3%
Birmingham to win
±13.4%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea wins |
33.28%
±13.69%
|
2.65 | -11.8% |
| Draw |
29.38%
±1.58%
|
3.25 | -4.5% |
| Birmingham wins |
37.34%
±13.43%
|
2.59 | -3.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Swansea
Birmingham
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Swansea
Birmingham
Shots
12.5
14.3
Shots On Target
4.4
3.9
Corners
4.8
5.4
Fouls
9.8
11.8
Yellow Cards
2.0
2.2
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Swansea
Birmingham
Shots
8.9
14.5
Shots On Target
3.7
4.8
Corners
4.0
6.3
Fouls
9.5
14.0
Yellow Cards
1.7
2.5
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Swansea Wins
1Draws
5Birmingham Wins
4| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2025 | Birmingham Win | 1:0 |
| 13 Jan 2024 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 5 Aug 2023 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 4 Feb 2023 | Birmingham Win | 3:4 |
| 8 Nov 2022 | Draw | 2:2 |
Swansea - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2026 | Millwall | 2:1 | L |
| 1 Jan 2026 | West Brom | 1:0 | W |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Oxford | 0:1 | W |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Coventry | 1:0 | L |
| 19 Dec 2025 | Wrexham | 2:1 | W |
Birmingham - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2026 | Coventry | 3:2 | W |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Watford | 3:0 | L |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Southampton | 1:1 | D |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Derby | 1:1 | D |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Sheffield United | 3:0 | L |