Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sp Lisbon wins |
86.95%
±5.77%
|
1.14 | -0.9% |
| Draw |
10.39%
±3.85%
|
7.63 | -20.8% |
| Rio Ave wins |
2.66%
±1.95%
|
14.75 | -60.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Sp Lisbon
Rio Ave
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Sp Lisbon
Rio Ave
Shots
18.8
8.1
Shots On Target
7.8
3.4
Corners
6.7
4.1
Fouls
13.7
14.9
Yellow Cards
2.5
3.9
Red Cards
0.1
0.4
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Sp Lisbon
Rio Ave
Shots
15.7
6.0
Shots On Target
5.4
1.8
Corners
5.2
2.6
Fouls
13.6
13.8
Yellow Cards
2.4
3.3
Red Cards
0.1
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Sp Lisbon Wins
6Draws
3Rio Ave Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2025 | Sp Lisbon Win | 0:3 |
| 9 Aug 2024 | Sp Lisbon Win | 3:1 |
| 25 Feb 2024 | Draw | 3:3 |
| 25 Sep 2023 | Sp Lisbon Win | 2:0 |
| 6 Feb 2023 | Sp Lisbon Win | 0:1 |
Sp Lisbon - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec 2025 | Guimaraes | 1:4 | W |
| 13 Dec 2025 | AVS | 6:0 | W |
| 5 Dec 2025 | Benfica | 1:1 | D |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Estrela | 4:0 | W |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Santa Clara | 1:2 | W |
Rio Ave - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec 2025 | Gil Vicente | 2:2 | D |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Guimaraes | 0:1 | L |
| 6 Dec 2025 | AVS | 1:2 | W |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Santa Clara | 1:1 | D |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Alverca | 1:1 | D |