Primeira Liga 20 Dec 2025 15:30 Match Finished

Estrela vs Moreirense

Our Prediction Missed
35.1% Estrela to win

±14.3%

Outcome Probabilities

Outcome Probability Odds EV
Estrela wins
35.1% ±14.34%
2.40 -15.8%
Draw
29.89% ±1.83%
3.23 -3.6%
Moreirense wins
35.01% ±13.6%
2.85 -0.2%

Model Rating

AI model rating per team before kickoff

Estrela
Moreirense

Recent Form Statistics

Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.

Stat
Estrela
Moreirense
Shots 12.1 9.5
Shots On Target 4.0 3.7
Corners 3.2 4.2
Fouls 13.9 15.0
Yellow Cards 2.6 2.6
Red Cards 0.1 0.2

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Average per-match stats from recent meetings.

Stat
Estrela
Moreirense
Shots 7.2 10.8
Shots On Target 2.5 2.2
Corners 2.8 4.5
Fouls 19.0 17.2
Yellow Cards 3.2 3.5
Red Cards 0.2 0.5

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.

Head-to-Head History

Estrela Wins

1

Draws

2

Moreirense Wins

1
Date Result Score
2 Mar 2025 Draw 1:1
28 Sep 2024 Estrela Win 2:1
7 Apr 2024 Draw 2:2
11 Nov 2023 Moreirense Win 0:1

Estrela - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
15 Dec 2025 Porto 3:1 L
7 Dec 2025 Arouca 3:1 W
30 Nov 2025 Sp Lisbon 4:0 L
9 Nov 2025 Nacional 1:1 D
1 Nov 2025 Casa Pia 3:5 W

Moreirense - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
14 Dec 2025 Benfica 0:4 L
7 Dec 2025 Estoril 3:3 D
29 Nov 2025 Famalicao 2:2 D
9 Nov 2025 Sp Braga 2:1 L
2 Nov 2025 Arouca 0:2 W