Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mechelen wins |
35.51%
±14.36%
|
2.89 | +2.4% |
| Draw |
29.26%
±1.76%
|
3.40 | -0.5% |
| Charleroi wins |
35.23%
±13.58%
|
2.35 | -17.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Mechelen
Charleroi
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Mechelen
Charleroi
Shots
10.1
11.0
Shots On Target
3.4
4.1
Corners
4.3
5.2
Fouls
10.1
9.7
Yellow Cards
2.5
2.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Mechelen
Charleroi
Shots
10.9
13.9
Shots On Target
4.9
4.7
Corners
4.1
5.8
Fouls
11.6
9.3
Yellow Cards
1.8
1.8
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Mechelen Wins
5Draws
3Charleroi Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep 2025 | Mechelen Win | 0:2 |
| 18 May 2025 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 19 Apr 2025 | Charleroi Win | 3:0 |
| 8 Mar 2025 | Mechelen Win | 0:1 |
| 31 Aug 2024 | Mechelen Win | 5:2 |
Mechelen - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov 2025 | Standard | 0:1 | L |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Genk | 0:1 | W |
| 9 Nov 2025 | St. Gilloise | 1:1 | D |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Anderlecht | 3:1 | L |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 1:1 | D |
Charleroi - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov 2025 | RAAL La Louviere | 0:0 | D |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Club Brugge | 1:0 | L |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Westerlo | 2:0 | W |
| 31 Oct 2025 | Standard | 3:1 | L |
| 24 Oct 2025 | Anderlecht | 1:0 | W |