Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morton wins |
40.11%
±14.26%
|
2.15 | -13.8% |
| Draw |
31.38%
±2.74%
|
3.20 | +0.4% |
| Arbroath wins |
28.52%
±12.07%
|
3.15 | -10.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Morton
Arbroath
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Morton
Arbroath
Shots
7.7
9.0
Shots On Target
2.7
2.9
Corners
4.9
5.1
Fouls
11.9
10.8
Yellow Cards
2.4
2.2
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Morton
Arbroath
Shots
11.5
9.4
Shots On Target
5.0
3.7
Corners
5.6
5.9
Fouls
12.1
11.6
Yellow Cards
1.5
1.6
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Morton Wins
3Draws
3Arbroath Wins
4| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2025 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 20 Apr 2024 | Morton Win | 1:2 |
| 27 Jan 2024 | Morton Win | 3:0 |
| 9 Dec 2023 | Morton Win | 1:2 |
| 26 Aug 2023 | Arbroath Win | 0:3 |
Morton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2025 | Raith Rvs | 1:1 | D |
| 25 Oct 2025 | St Johnstone | 0:4 | L |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Ayr | 2:1 | L |
| 11 Oct 2025 | Partick | 1:1 | D |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Airdrie Utd | 1:2 | W |
Arbroath - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2025 | Ross County | 3:0 | W |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Airdrie Utd | 1:0 | L |
| 18 Oct 2025 | St Johnstone | 3:1 | W |
| 11 Oct 2025 | Queens Park | 4:1 | W |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Partick | 1:1 | D |