Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monza wins |
49.51%
±14.8%
|
2.05 | +1.5% |
| Draw |
26.48%
±3.62%
|
3.13 | -17.2% |
| Spezia wins |
24.01%
±11.47%
|
3.73 | -10.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Monza
Spezia
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Monza
Spezia
Shots
13.7
10.0
Shots On Target
4.1
3.9
Corners
5.1
4.8
Fouls
16.8
16.4
Yellow Cards
2.2
1.7
Red Cards
0.1
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Monza
Spezia
Shots
7.5
10.5
Shots On Target
4.0
2.5
Corners
3.0
4.5
Fouls
13.0
15.0
Yellow Cards
2.5
1.5
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Monza Wins
2Draws
0Spezia Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr 2023 | Monza Win | 0:2 |
| 9 Oct 2022 | Monza Win | 2:0 |
Monza - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2025 | Palermo | 0:3 | W |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Reggiana | 3:1 | W |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Frosinone | 0:1 | W |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Catanzaro | 2:1 | W |
| 1 Oct 2025 | Empoli | 1:1 | D |
Spezia - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct 2025 | Padova | 1:1 | D |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Avellino | 0:4 | W |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Cesena | 1:2 | L |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Palermo | 1:2 | L |
| 30 Sep 2025 | Reggiana | 1:1 | D |