Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton wins |
65.71%
±12.69%
|
1.48 | -2.4% |
| Draw |
21.61%
±5.26%
|
4.37 | -5.7% |
| Burnley wins |
12.68%
±7.55%
|
6.63 | -16.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Brighton
Burnley
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Brighton
Burnley
Shots
14.4
10.4
Shots On Target
4.6
3.1
Corners
4.8
4.6
Fouls
12.1
9.9
Yellow Cards
2.5
1.4
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Brighton
Burnley
Shots
16.7
11.1
Shots On Target
5.3
3.3
Corners
6.1
4.7
Fouls
9.1
10.3
Yellow Cards
0.7
2.3
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Brighton Wins
2Draws
4Burnley Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 9 Dec 2023 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 19 Feb 2022 | Burnley Win | 0:3 |
| 14 Aug 2021 | Brighton Win | 1:2 |
| 6 Feb 2021 | Draw | 1:1 |
Brighton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec 2025 | West Ham | 2:2 | D |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Arsenal | 2:1 | L |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Sunderland | 0:0 | D |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Liverpool | 2:0 | L |
| 7 Dec 2025 | West Ham | 1:1 | D |
Burnley - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec 2025 | Newcastle | 1:3 | L |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Everton | 0:0 | D |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Bournemouth | 1:1 | D |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Fulham | 2:3 | L |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Newcastle | 2:1 | L |