Malaga vs Villarreal
Final Result
1:3
Villarreal to win
Our Prediction
Correct
49.6%
Villarreal to win
±13.7%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga wins Top Bet |
23.72%
±11.7%
|
3.54 | -16.1% |
| Draw |
26.72%
±2.45%
|
3.55 | -5.2% |
| Villarreal wins |
49.55%
±13.67%
|
1.96 | -2.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Malaga
Villarreal
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Malaga
Villarreal
Shots
11.0
13.3
Shots On Target
3.3
5.6
Hit On Woodwork
0.0
N/A
Corners
4.1
6.7
Fouls
10.1
10.7
Free Kicks Conceded
0.0
N/A
Offsides
0.0
N/A
Yellow Cards
1.7
1.6
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Malaga - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2026 | Celta | 1:1 | D |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Levante | 0:0 | D |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Real Madrid | 4:0 | L |
| 24 Aug 2026 | La Coruna | 1:1 | D |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Ath Madrid | 2:0 | L |
Villarreal - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep 2026 | Betis | 1:2 | L |
| 5 Sep 2026 | La Coruna | 2:3 | L |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Alaves | 1:0 | L |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Ath Madrid | 2:2 | D |
| 16 Aug 2026 | Santander | 2:2 | D |