Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derby wins |
24.15%
±11.59%
|
3.60 | -13.1% |
| Draw |
30.24%
±2.38%
|
3.35 | +1.3% |
| Ipswich wins |
45.61%
±13.35%
|
2.05 | -6.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Derby
Ipswich
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Derby
Ipswich
Shots
11.6
15.7
Shots On Target
4.1
5.3
Corners
4.4
6.2
Fouls
11.6
11.1
Yellow Cards
1.8
1.5
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Derby
Ipswich
Shots
7.0
15.7
Shots On Target
1.3
4.7
Corners
3.3
7.0
Fouls
12.3
11.7
Yellow Cards
4.3
2.3
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Derby Wins
0Draws
1Ipswich Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2025 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 1 Apr 2023 | Ipswich Win | 0:2 |
| 21 Oct 2022 | Ipswich Win | 1:0 |
Derby - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2026 | Bristol City | 0:5 | W |
| 23 Jan 2026 | West Brom | 1:1 | D |
| 20 Jan 2026 | Charlton | 1:2 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Preston | 0:1 | W |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Wrexham | 1:2 | L |
Ipswich - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | Preston | 1:1 | D |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Sheffield United | 3:1 | L |
| 20 Jan 2026 | Bristol City | 2:0 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Blackburn | 3:0 | W |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Oxford | 2:1 | W |