Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham wins |
58.84%
±13.79%
|
1.39 | -18.5% |
| Draw |
23.84%
±4.64%
|
4.76 | +13.6% |
| Derby wins Top Bet |
17.33%
±9.32%
|
7.48 | +29.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
West Ham
Derby
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
West Ham
Derby
Shots
13.8
13.0
Shots On Target
5.0
4.2
Corners
5.6
4.8
Fouls
10.1
14.3
Yellow Cards
2.3
3.1
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
West Ham - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Sep 2026 | Wolves | 4:2 | W |
| 1 Sep 2026 | Wolverhampton | 4:2 | W |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Watford | 1:1 | D |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Charlton | 1:2 | L |
| 16 Aug 2026 | Burnley | 2:2 | D |
Derby - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Sep 2026 | Portsmouth | 0:2 | W |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Swansea | 0:3 | L |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Cardiff | 2:2 | D |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Charlton | 2:1 | L |
| 2 May 2026 | Sheffield United | 1:2 | L |