Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela wins |
35.37%
±14.44%
|
2.75 | -2.7% |
| Draw |
29.17%
±1.78%
|
3.30 | -3.7% |
| Estoril wins |
35.46%
±13.73%
|
2.43 | -14.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Estrela
Estoril
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Estrela
Estoril
Shots
12.2
12.7
Shots On Target
4.1
4.6
Corners
3.3
5.8
Fouls
15.0
13.2
Yellow Cards
2.7
2.3
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Estrela
Estoril
Shots
10.8
10.8
Shots On Target
4.5
5.0
Corners
4.0
5.2
Fouls
13.5
13.0
Yellow Cards
1.5
2.2
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Estrela Wins
1Draws
1Estoril Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug 2025 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 17 May 2025 | Estoril Win | 4:0 |
| 5 Jan 2025 | Estoril Win | 2:4 |
| 4 Feb 2024 | Estoril Win | 1:0 |
| 25 Aug 2023 | Estrela Win | 2:1 |
Estrela - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Jan 2026 | Sp Braga | 3:3 | D |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Famalicao | 2:3 | W |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Moreirense | 0:0 | D |
| 15 Dec 2025 | Porto | 3:1 | L |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Arouca | 3:1 | W |
Estoril - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Jan 2026 | Benfica | 3:1 | L |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Alverca | 4:1 | W |
| 19 Dec 2025 | Sp Braga | 1:0 | W |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Famalicao | 4:0 | L |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Moreirense | 3:3 | D |