Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional wins |
9%
±6.07%
|
8.75 | -21.2% |
| Draw |
23.27%
±5.22%
|
4.75 | +10.5% |
| Porto wins |
67.73%
±11.16%
|
1.33 | -10.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Nacional
Porto
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Nacional
Porto
Shots
13.1
13.2
Shots On Target
4.1
4.9
Corners
3.6
5.1
Fouls
14.9
13.5
Yellow Cards
2.7
1.8
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Nacional
Porto
Shots
5.8
11.8
Shots On Target
2.5
4.0
Corners
2.2
6.2
Fouls
13.2
11.8
Yellow Cards
3.0
2.2
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Nacional Wins
1Draws
0Porto Wins
4| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2025 | Porto Win | 1:0 |
| 17 May 2025 | Porto Win | 3:0 |
| 12 Jan 2025 | Nacional Win | 2:0 |
| 18 Apr 2021 | Porto Win | 0:1 |
| 20 Dec 2020 | Porto Win | 2:0 |
Nacional - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Feb 2026 | Casa Pia | 0:0 | D |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Sp Lisbon | 2:1 | L |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Rio Ave | 4:0 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Gil Vicente | 2:1 | L |
| 11 Jan 2026 | Santa Clara | 3:3 | D |
Porto - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Feb 2026 | Sp Lisbon | 1:1 | D |
| 2 Feb 2026 | Casa Pia | 2:1 | L |
| 26 Jan 2026 | Gil Vicente | 3:0 | W |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Guimaraes | 0:1 | W |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Santa Clara | 0:1 | W |