Leeds vs Aston Villa
Final Result
1:2
Aston Villa to win
Our Prediction
Correct
40.5%
Aston Villa to win
±13.5%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds wins |
28.77%
±12.9%
|
3.05 | -12.2% |
| Draw |
30.7%
±1.73%
|
3.28 | +0.5% |
| Aston Villa wins |
40.53%
±13.55%
|
2.35 | -4.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Leeds
Aston Villa
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Leeds
Aston Villa
Shots
11.1
11.6
Shots On Target
3.5
3.6
Corners
4.0
5.6
Fouls
10.4
9.2
Yellow Cards
1.6
1.8
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Leeds
Aston Villa
Shots
14.2
13.0
Shots On Target
4.3
5.5
Corners
6.5
5.2
Fouls
14.7
12.3
Yellow Cards
3.0
2.0
Red Cards
0.2
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Leeds Wins
1Draws
2Aston Villa Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan 2023 | Aston Villa Win | 2:1 |
| 2 Oct 2022 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 10 Mar 2022 | Aston Villa Win | 0:3 |
| 9 Feb 2022 | Draw | 3:3 |
| 27 Feb 2021 | Aston Villa Win | 0:1 |
Leeds - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov 2025 | Nott'm Forest | 3:1 | L |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Brighton | 3:0 | L |
| 24 Oct 2025 | West Ham | 2:1 | W |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Burnley | 2:0 | L |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Tottenham | 1:2 | L |
Aston Villa - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov 2025 | Bournemouth | 4:0 | W |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Liverpool | 2:0 | L |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Man City | 1:0 | W |
| 19 Oct 2025 | Tottenham | 1:2 | W |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Burnley | 2:1 | W |