Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| St Pauli wins |
36.48%
±14.15%
|
2.88 | +4.9% |
| Draw |
29.86%
±1.96%
|
2.90 | -13.4% |
| Hamburg wins |
33.66%
±13.07%
|
2.75 | -7.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
St Pauli
Hamburg
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
St Pauli
Hamburg
Shots
9.0
14.1
Shots On Target
2.7
5.3
Corners
4.6
4.1
Fouls
8.8
11.9
Yellow Cards
1.6
2.3
Red Cards
0.1
0.4
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
St Pauli
Hamburg
Shots
14.8
11.4
Shots On Target
4.9
3.8
Corners
4.4
5.0
Fouls
12.1
11.0
Yellow Cards
2.9
2.0
Red Cards
0.1
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
St Pauli Wins
5Draws
2Hamburg Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2025 | St Pauli Win | 0:2 |
| 3 May 2024 | Hamburg Win | 1:0 |
| 1 Dec 2023 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 21 Apr 2023 | Hamburg Win | 4:3 |
| 14 Oct 2022 | St Pauli Win | 3:0 |
St Pauli - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | Dortmund | 3:2 | L |
| 14 Jan 2026 | Wolfsburg | 2:1 | L |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Mainz | 0:0 | D |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Heidenheim | 2:1 | W |
| 6 Dec 2025 | FC Koln | 1:1 | D |
Hamburg - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | M'gladbach | 0:0 | D |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Freiburg | 2:1 | L |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Ein Frankfurt | 1:1 | D |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Hoffenheim | 4:1 | L |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Werder Bremen | 3:2 | W |