Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg wins |
23.65%
±11.47%
|
3.28 | -22.6% |
| Draw |
30.75%
±2.49%
|
3.50 | +7.6% |
| Dortmund wins |
45.61%
±13.36%
|
2.13 | -3.1% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Freiburg
Dortmund
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Freiburg
Dortmund
Shots
11.8
12.3
Shots On Target
3.7
3.7
Corners
4.4
6.2
Fouls
8.4
11.6
Yellow Cards
1.4
1.5
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Freiburg
Dortmund
Shots
8.6
17.7
Shots On Target
3.7
6.0
Corners
2.7
6.5
Fouls
10.8
11.0
Yellow Cards
1.2
2.2
Red Cards
0.4
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Freiburg Wins
2Draws
0Dortmund Wins
8| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 5 Apr 2025 | Dortmund Win | 1:4 |
| 23 Nov 2024 | Dortmund Win | 4:0 |
| 9 Feb 2024 | Dortmund Win | 3:0 |
| 16 Sep 2023 | Dortmund Win | 2:4 |
| 4 Feb 2023 | Dortmund Win | 5:1 |
Freiburg - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Dec 2025 | Heidenheim | 2:1 | L |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Mainz | 4:0 | W |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Bayern Munich | 6:2 | L |
| 9 Nov 2025 | St Pauli | 2:1 | W |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Union Berlin | 0:0 | D |
Dortmund - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Dec 2025 | Hoffenheim | 2:0 | W |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Leverkusen | 1:2 | W |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Stuttgart | 3:3 | D |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Hamburg | 1:1 | D |
| 31 Oct 2025 | Augsburg | 0:1 | W |