Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| AVS wins |
42.36%
±15.44%
|
2.63 | +11.2% |
| Draw |
26.91%
±2.51%
|
3.20 | -13.9% |
| Estrela wins |
30.73%
±13.46%
|
2.60 | -20.1% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
AVS
Estrela
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
AVS
Estrela
Shots
11.1
8.5
Shots On Target
2.8
2.8
Corners
3.8
2.6
Fouls
11.3
16.4
Yellow Cards
2.1
3.0
Red Cards
0.2
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
AVS
Estrela
Shots
11.5
13.5
Shots On Target
4.0
5.5
Corners
6.5
6.0
Fouls
16.5
11.5
Yellow Cards
2.0
2.5
Red Cards
0.5
0.5
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
AVS Wins
1Draws
1Estrela Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2025 | Estrela Win | 3:0 |
| 11 May 2025 | AVS Win | 0:1 |
| 28 Dec 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
AVS - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2026 | Benfica | 3:0 | L |
| 15 Feb 2026 | Estoril | 3:0 | W |
| 9 Feb 2026 | Famalicao | 3:1 | L |
| 2 Feb 2026 | Sp Braga | 0:4 | L |
| 23 Jan 2026 | Casa Pia | 3:3 | D |
Estrela - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb 2026 | Tondela | 0:2 | L |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Guimaraes | 2:1 | L |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Santa Clara | 1:0 | W |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Alverca | 1:1 | D |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Benfica | 4:0 | L |