Eredivisie 18 Jan 2026 06:15 Match Finished

Heerenveen vs Groningen

Our Prediction Missed
41.4% Heerenveen to win

±14.5%

Outcome Probabilities

Outcome Probability Odds EV
Heerenveen wins
41.35% ±14.52%
2.23 -8.0%
Draw
29.9% ±2.74%
3.40 +1.7%
Groningen wins
28.75% ±12.29%
3.15 -9.4%

Model Rating

AI model rating per team before kickoff

Heerenveen
Groningen

Recent Form Statistics

Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.

Stat
Heerenveen
Groningen
Shots 16.3 18.8
Shots On Target 6.5 6.4
Corners 6.7 7.6
Fouls 12.6 9.7
Yellow Cards 1.4 1.3
Red Cards 0.0 0.1

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Average per-match stats from recent meetings.

Stat
Heerenveen
Groningen
Shots 13.2 10.4
Shots On Target 5.6 3.3
Corners 5.2 5.0
Fouls 11.1 10.9
Yellow Cards 1.1 1.7
Red Cards 0.0 0.3

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.

Head-to-Head History

Heerenveen Wins

5

Draws

2

Groningen Wins

2
Date Result Score
16 Aug 2025 Groningen Win 2:1
25 Jan 2025 Groningen Win 1:0
22 Sep 2024 Heerenveen Win 2:1
19 Mar 2023 Heerenveen Win 0:2
22 Jan 2023 Heerenveen Win 3:1

Heerenveen - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
11 Jan 2026 Feyenoord 2:2 D
20 Dec 2025 Heracles 0:3 W
14 Dec 2025 Sparta Rotterdam 0:3 W
6 Dec 2025 PSV Eindhoven 0:2 L
28 Nov 2025 Zwolle 2:1 L

Groningen - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
10 Jan 2026 NAC Breda 0:0 D
21 Dec 2025 Go Ahead Eagles 1:1 D
13 Dec 2025 Volendam 3:0 W
5 Dec 2025 Excelsior 0:2 W
2 Dec 2025 Ajax 2:0 L