Bayern Munich vs Dortmund
Final Result
2:1
Bayern Munich to win
Our Prediction
Correct
69.7%
Bayern Munich to win
±11.9%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich wins |
69.71%
±11.95%
|
1.35 | -6.2% |
| Draw |
20.36%
±5.64%
|
5.50 | +12.0% |
| Dortmund wins |
9.94%
±6.42%
|
7.38 | -26.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Bayern Munich
Dortmund
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Bayern Munich
Dortmund
Shots
19.5
12.2
Shots On Target
9.7
5.3
Corners
5.0
5.2
Fouls
10.7
12.0
Yellow Cards
2.7
1.5
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Bayern Munich
Dortmund
Shots
15.2
10.6
Shots On Target
6.3
3.8
Corners
4.3
3.1
Fouls
9.1
10.5
Yellow Cards
1.8
1.7
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Bayern Munich Wins
6Draws
3Dortmund Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr 2025 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 30 Nov 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 30 Mar 2024 | Dortmund Win | 0:2 |
| 4 Nov 2023 | Bayern Munich Win | 0:4 |
| 1 Apr 2023 | Bayern Munich Win | 4:2 |
Bayern Munich - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2025 | Ein Frankfurt | 0:3 | W |
| 26 Sep 2025 | Werder Bremen | 4:0 | W |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Hoffenheim | 1:4 | W |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Hamburg | 5:0 | W |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Augsburg | 2:3 | W |
Dortmund - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2025 | RB Leipzig | 1:1 | D |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Mainz | 0:2 | W |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Wolfsburg | 1:0 | W |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Heidenheim | 0:2 | W |
| 31 Aug 2025 | Union Berlin | 3:0 | W |