Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lecce wins |
12.3%
±7.3%
|
6.50 | -20.1% |
| Draw |
25.96%
±4.55%
|
3.83 | -0.7% |
| Napoli wins |
61.75%
±11.67%
|
1.55 | -4.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Lecce
Napoli
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Lecce
Napoli
Shots
10.0
15.6
Shots On Target
2.8
5.6
Corners
5.5
6.4
Fouls
12.1
13.0
Yellow Cards
2.0
1.1
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Lecce
Napoli
Shots
10.5
18.3
Shots On Target
3.8
6.3
Corners
3.7
7.8
Fouls
10.0
9.7
Yellow Cards
2.3
2.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Lecce Wins
1Draws
2Napoli Wins
4| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 3 May 2025 | Napoli Win | 0:1 |
| 26 Oct 2024 | Napoli Win | 1:0 |
| 26 May 2024 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 30 Sep 2023 | Napoli Win | 0:4 |
| 7 Apr 2023 | Napoli Win | 1:2 |
Lecce - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2025 | Udinese | 3:2 | L |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Sassuolo | 0:0 | D |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Parma | 0:1 | W |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Bologna | 2:2 | D |
| 19 Sep 2025 | Cagliari | 1:2 | L |
Napoli - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2025 | Inter | 3:1 | W |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Torino | 1:0 | L |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Genoa | 2:1 | W |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Milan | 2:1 | L |
| 22 Sep 2025 | Pisa | 3:2 | W |