Brighton vs Bournemouth
Final Result
1:1
Match ended in a draw
Our Prediction
Missed
45%
Brighton to win
±12%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton wins |
45%
±12%
|
1.86 | -15.7% |
| Draw |
25%
±2%
|
3.90 | -0.6% |
| Bournemouth wins |
29%
±10%
|
3.75 | +9.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Brighton
Bournemouth
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Brighton
Bournemouth
Shots
13.0
13.8
Shots On Target
4.6
4.7
Corners
4.9
5.6
Fouls
11.9
12.0
Yellow Cards
2.3
2.3
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Brighton
Bournemouth
Shots
13.2
14.4
Shots On Target
4.4
4.1
Corners
3.9
5.6
Fouls
10.6
12.6
Yellow Cards
2.2
1.9
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Brighton Wins
5Draws
0Bournemouth Wins
3| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2025 | Bournemouth Win | 2:1 | English Premier League |
| 25 Feb 2025 | Brighton Win | 2:1 | English Premier League |
| 23 Nov 2024 | Brighton Win | 1:2 | English Premier League |
| 28 Apr 2024 | Bournemouth Win | 3:0 | English Premier League |
| 24 Sep 2023 | Brighton Win | 3:1 | English Premier League |
Brighton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Jan 2026 | Man City | 1:1 | D |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Burnley | 2:0 | W |
| 30 Dec 2025 | West Ham | 2:2 | D |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Arsenal | 2:1 | L |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Sunderland | 0:0 | D |
Bournemouth - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Jan 2026 | Tottenham | 3:2 | W |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Arsenal | 2:3 | L |
| 30 Dec 2025 | Chelsea | 2:2 | D |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Brentford | 4:1 | L |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Burnley | 1:1 | D |